# Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States

**Type:** Papers  
**Canonical URL:** https://scholariq.org/papers/evaluation-of-individual-and-ensemble-probabilistic-forecasts-of-covid-19/

## Facts

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Author Names | Estee Y. Cramer,Evan L Ray,Velma K. Lopez,Johannes Bracher,Andrea Brennen,Alvaro J. Castro Rivadeneira,Aaron Gerding,Tilmann Gneiting,Katie House,Yuxin Huang,Dasuni Jayawardena,Abdul Hannan Kanji,Ayush Khandelwal,Khoa Le,Anja Mühlemann,Jarad Niemi,Apurv Shah,Ariane Stark,Yijin Wang,Nutcha Wattanachit,Martha Zorn,Youyang Gu,Sansiddh Jain,Nayana Bannur,Ayush Deva,Mihir Kulkarni,Srujana Merugu,Alpan Raval,Siddhant Shingi,Avtansh Tiwari,Jerome White,Neil F. Abernethy,Spencer Woody,Maytal Dahan,Spencer J. Fox,Kelly Gaither,Michael Lachmann,Lauren Ancel Meyers,James G. Scott,Mauricio Tec,Ajitesh Srivastava,Glover George,Jeffrey C. Cegan,Ian Dettwiller,William P. England,Matthew W. Farthing,Robert H. Hunter,Brandon J. Lafferty,Igor Linkov,Michael L. Mayo,Matthew Parno,Michael A. Rowland,Benjamin D. Trump,Yanli Zhang‐James,Samuel Chen,Stephen V. Faraone,Jonathan Hess,Christopher P. Morley,Asif Salekin,Dongliang Wang,Sabrina Corsetti,T. M. Baer,Marisa C. Eisenberg,Karl Falb,Yitao Huang,Emily T. Martin,Ella McCauley,Robert L. Myers,Tom Schwarz,Daniel Sheldon,Graham Gibson,Rose Yu,Liyao Gao,Yi-An Ma,Dongxia Wu,Xifeng Yan,Xiaoyong Jin,Yu-Xiang Wang,YangQuan Chen,Lihong Guo,Yanting Zhao,Quanquan Gu,Jinghui Chen,Lingxiao Wang,Pan Xu,Weitong Zhang,Difan Zou,Hannah Biegel,J. Lega,Steve McConnell,VP Nagraj,Stephanie Guertin,Christopher Hulme-Lowe,Stephen Turner,Yunfeng Shi,Xuegang Ban,Robert Walraven,Qi‐Jun Hong,Stanley Kong,Axel van de Walle |
| Citations | 331 |
| DOI | 10.1073/pnas.2113561119 |
| Fields | Decision Sciences,Mathematics,Medicine |
| Open Access | true |
| OA Status | hybrid |
| OA URL | https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2113561119 |
| OpenAlex ID | https://openalex.org/W4223487063 |
| PMID | 35394862 |
| Type | article |
| Year | 2022 |

## Paper authors

- [Stephen V. Faraone](https://scholariq.org/researchers/stephen-v-faraone/)
- [Yanli Zhang‐James](https://scholariq.org/researchers/yanli-zhang-james/)

## Paper journal

- [Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences](https://scholariq.org/journals/proceedings-of-the-national-academy-of-sciences/)

## Paper primary topic

- [COVID-19 epidemiological studies](https://scholariq.org/topics/covid-19-epidemiological-studies/)

## Paper topics

- [COVID-19 epidemiological studies](https://scholariq.org/topics/covid-19-epidemiological-studies/)
- [Data-Driven Disease Surveillance](https://scholariq.org/topics/data-driven-disease-surveillance/)
- [Forecasting Techniques and Applications](https://scholariq.org/topics/forecasting-techniques-and-applications/)

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Source: ScholarIQ — public research metadata, principally OpenAlex. See https://scholariq.org/sources/ for provenance and https://scholariq.org/methodology/ for what these figures mean.
