# Insights into the accuracy of social scientists’ forecasts of societal change

**Type:** Papers  
**Canonical URL:** https://scholariq.org/papers/insights-into-the-accuracy-of-social-scientists-forecasts-of-societal-change/

## Facts

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Author Names | The Forecasting Collaborative,Igor Grossmann,Amanda Rotella,Cendri A. Hutcherson,Konstantyn Sharpinskyi,Michael E. W. Varnum,Sebastian Achter,Mandeep K. Dhami,Xinqi Guo,Mane Kara-Yakoubian,David R. Mandel,Louis Raes,Louis Tay,Aymeric Vié,Lisa Wagner,Matúš Adamkovič,Arash Arami,Patrí­cia Arriaga,Kasun Bandara,Gabriel Baník,Frantis̆ek Bartos̆,Ernest Baskin,Christoph Bergmeir,Michał Białek,Caroline Kjær Børsting,Dillon T. Browne,Eugene M. Caruso,Rong Chen,Bin‐Tzong Chie,William J. Chopik,Robert N. Collins,Chin Wen Cong,Lucian Gideon Conway,Matthew Davis,Martin V. Day,Nathan Dhaliwal,Justin D. Durham,Martyna Dziekan,Christian T. Elbaek,Eric Shuman,Marharyta Fabrykant,Mustafa Firat,Geoffrey T. Fong,Jeremy A. Frimer,Jonathan Gallegos,Simon B. Goldberg,Anton Gollwitzer,Julia Goyal,Lorenz Graf‐Vlachy,Scott D. Gronlund,Sebastian Hafenbrädl,Andree Hartanto,Matthew J. Hirshberg,Matthew J. Hornsey,Piers D. L. Howe,Anoosha Izadi,Bastian Jaeger,Pavol Kačmár,Yeun Joon Kim,Ruslan Krenzler,Daniel G. Lannin,Hung-Wen Lin,Nigel Mantou Lou,Verity Y. Q. Lua,Aaron W. Lukaszewski,Albert L. Ly,Christopher R. Madan,Maximilian Maier,Nadyanna M. Majeed,David S. March,Abigail A. Marsh,Michał Misiak,Kristian Ove R. Myrseth,Jaime Napan,Jonathan Nicholas,Κωνσταντίνος Νικολόπουλος,O Jiaqing,Tobias Otterbring,Mariola Paruzel‐Czachura,Shiva Pauer,John Protzko,Quentin Raffaelli,Ivan Ropovik,Robert M. Ross,Yefim Roth,Espen Røysamb,Landon Schnabel,Astrid Schütz,Matthias Seifert,A. Timur Sevincer,Garrick Sherman,Otto Simonsson,Ming‐Chien Sung,Chung-Ching Tai,Thomas Talhelm,Bethany A. Teachman,Philip E. Tetlock,Dimitrios D. Thomakos,Dwight C. K. Tse,Oliver Twardus |
| Citations | 69 |
| DOI | 10.1038/s41562-022-01517-1 |
| Fields | Decision Sciences,Psychology |
| Open Access | true |
| OA Status | bronze |
| OA URL | https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-022-01517-1.pdf |
| OpenAlex ID | https://openalex.org/W4319660924 |
| PMID | 36759585 |
| Type | article |
| Year | 2023 |

## Paper authors

- [Jan G. Voelkel](https://scholariq.org/researchers/jan-g-voelkel/)

## Paper journal

- [Nature Human Behaviour](https://scholariq.org/journals/nature-human-behaviour/)

## Paper primary topic

- [Decision Sciences](https://scholariq.org/topics/decision-sciences/)

## Paper topics

- [Psychological Well-being and Life Satisfaction](https://scholariq.org/topics/psychological-well-being-and-life-satisfaction/)

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Source: ScholarIQ — public research metadata, principally OpenAlex. See https://scholariq.org/sources/ for provenance and https://scholariq.org/methodology/ for what these figures mean.